关键词: 中欧航空货运市场, 不平衡性, 贸易差额, 回归分析

Abstract:

With the fast development of China-EU air transport market,the cargo part of China-EU air transport market is shown gradually imbalance. At the same time,in China and EU's bilateral merchandise trade,China's surplus also appears to grow substantially. In this paper,we according to the China-EU air transport market cargo traffic data and China-EU merchandise trade data from 2000 to 2010,analysis between the air cargo imbalance and trade imbalance from two aspects carries on the whole of EU and each countries,and make preliminary discuss to China-EU air cargo imbalance. The results show that,the whole of EU with China air cargo market imbalance is related to the merchandise trade imbalance,while the specific situations of EU countries are different. At last,we analyzed the reason of this phenomenon and make a tentative conclusion that the final destination of goods can affect the imbalance of air cargo between certain countries. The conclusion is consistent with the characteristics of air cargo itself.

Key words: China-EU air cargo market, imbalance, balance of trade, regression analysis