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全开放值机岛离港旅客值机排队长度预测模型

邢志伟1,杨扬1,2,罗谦2   

  1. (1.taptap下载安装安卓电子信息与自动化学院,天津300300;2.中国民航局第二研究所,成都610041)
  • 收稿日期:2017-04-10 修回日期:2017-05-23 出版日期:2018-02-24 发布日期:2018-01-17
  • 作者简介:邢志伟(1970—),男,辽宁新民人,教授,博士,研究方向为民航装备与系统、民航智能规划与调度.
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(U1333122,U1533203);国家科技支撑计划(2012BAG04B02);中央高校基本科研业务费专项(3122014P003);四川省科技支撑计划(2016GZ0068);成都市战略性新兴产品研发补贴项目(2015-CP01-00158-GX)

Check-in queue length prediction model of departure passengers in fully open check-in island

XING Zhiwei1, Yang Yang1,2, LUO Qian2   

  1. (1. College of Electronic Information and Aeronautical Automation, CAUC, Tianjin 300300, China; 2. The Second Research Institute of
    CAAC, Chengdu 610041, China)
  • Received:2017-04-10 Revised:2017-05-23 Online:2018-02-24 Published:2018-01-17

摘要:

针对国内离港旅客在全开放值机岛以蛇形排队方式值机的业务场景,分析了旅客聚集规律的性质,证明了对于邻近多航班的旅客会有多个聚集高峰出现的现象。基于此场景在开放柜台数量尚未发生改变时,通过累计算法和离散化分析临近时序的排队长度变化,建立了全开放值机岛离港旅客值机排队长度预测模型,并通过对比试验证明了模型的准确性。

关键词: 排队长度, 值机, 离散化分析, 预测模型

Abstract: Aiming at the domestic departure passengers checking-in scenario with the serpentine queuing form in the fully open check-in island, passenger agglomeration rule is analyzed, proving the multiple peaks of arriving passengers on multiple flights. Then, for this scene, before the number of open counters changed, the queuing length prediction model of departure passengers in fully open check-in island is established by cumulative algorithm and discretized analysis. Queuing length of adjacent timing is analyzed in discrete way. Accuracy of the current model is proved by comparative test.

Key words: queuing length model, check-in, discretization analysis, prediction model

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